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Trophic Cascades, Wolves, and the Cost of Taxing Success

by | Feb 9, 2026 | Recent Commentaries

The Encyclopedia Britannica defines a trophic cascade as an ecological phenomenon in which changes at the top of a food chain ripple downward, reshaping an entire ecosystem in ways that are often unintended and initially unseen. Put plainly: changes made at the top matter far more than we expect, and the damage rarely stays contained.

Yellowstone National Park illustrates this point perfectly.

In the early 1900s, wolves were hunted relentlessly. By 1926, the gray wolf had been eradicated from the park. What followed wasn’t harmony, but slow decay. Elk and deer populations exploded. Overgrazing stripped the land bare. Vegetation vanished. Riverbanks eroded. Bird populations collapsed. Beavers disappeared. The damage wasn’t dramatic enough to trigger alarm bells—it simply accumulated as the system lost its natural regulator.

In 1995, fourteen wolves were reintroduced. Scientists expected incremental improvement. What they got was a wholesale reversal.

The wolves didn’t eliminate the elk. They changed their behavior. Elk avoided open valleys and riverbanks where they were exposed. Vegetation returned. Willows and aspens rebounded. Birds followed. Beavers came back and reshaped waterways, stabilizing riverbanks and restoring habitats. Even the physical geography of Yellowstone began to heal.

The lesson was unmistakable: remove a keystone force at the top and destruction spreads downward; restore it and balance returns.

That same principle applies outside nature—including economic policies.

California didn’t become the world’s fifth-largest economy by accident. Silicon Valley wasn’t built by regulators. Hollywood didn’t dominate global culture because Sacramento designed it. California rose because entrepreneurs took risks, built companies, hired people, and were allowed to succeed.

That’s the heart of capitalism – take the risk, do the work, create value—and if you provide a service or product people want, you keep the rewards.

California’s newly proposed billionaire tax shatters that calculus.

The proposed “billionaire tax” is not a routine tax increase. It is a structural assault on the economic system that made the Golden State, golden!  Under the proposal, residents with net worth over $1 billion would face a ‘one-time’ tax not on income or profits, but on “wealth”—including unrealized gains, paper valuations, illiquid assets and ownership stakes that may never be sold.

Progressives call it fairness. In reality, it’s a tax on success before success is realized.

Politicians speak as if billionaires hoard their cash. They don’t. Their wealth is overwhelmingly tied up in businesses, the stock market, private companies, real estate, and intellectual property. And when government demands a massive payment based on theoretical valuations, there is only one way to comply: sell assets.

That’s when the cascade begins.

Even public markets can’t absorb forced stock sales without consequence.  If a billionaire is forced to sell millions in publicly traded stock it affects the stock price and those who own that stock – including institutional investors and personal 401Ks.

And when business owners are pushed to raise cash quickly to pay a tax and don’t want to sell their company, they must take on debt, slash costs and shrink payrolls as long-term growth gives way to short-term survival.

Entrepreneurs don’t just create personal wealth. They create jobs, supply chains, tax revenue, and philanthropy.  A tax marketed as punishment for “the rich” does not stop at balance sheets of the wealthy. It affects everyday workers.

Capitalism works because it rewards innovation and reinvestment.  It encourages entrepreneurs to build bigger, hire more, and take long shots.  Taxing wealth flips that incentive structure on its head. The message is clear: build too much, succeed too much, and the state will dismantle what you’ve built.

Elon Musk didn’t move Tesla’s headquarters from California to Texas because he dislikes the beaches or the weather.  He left because regulatory hostility, punitive taxes, and open contempt for business innovation made it harder to build companies.  When the most consequential entrepreneur of a generation votes with his feet, policymakers should pay attention.

Joe Rogan moved his podcast empire out of Los Angeles.  Oracle relocated its headquarters.  Tech founders quietly sever ties with the state.  Even Hollywood’s loudest progressive voices have established legal residency in Nevada, Texas, and Florida—while keeping their second homes in Malibu.

That isn’t coincidence.  It’s cause and effect.

Today it’s billionaires, tomorrow it’s business owners worth $100 million, then $50 million; soon, family-owned businesses built by the hard work and ingenuity of entrepreneurs who are taxed on valuations they haven’t monetized.  As the saying goes, there is nothing more permanent in government than a ‘one-time tax.’

Capitalism depends on a simple promise: take risks, build something meaningful, create value—and you get to keep the rewards.  California once understood that better than almost anywhere on earth. The lesson is simple.  In an ecosystem or an economy, destabilize the top and the damage cascades downward.  When capitalism is undermined, everyone pays the price—not just the billionaires.

Quote of the day: “Economic policies must always be viewed terms of the incentives they create, not the goals they proclaim.” – Thomas Sowell